environment-canadaI know there is a weather statement in place from Environment Canada for a Saturday Winter Storm.

I suggest the use of the word ‘storm’, in this case, is a tad overdone.  Maybe a ‘winter blip’ would be more appropriate.

There is a system moving in from the west that will affect Northeastern Ontario but it will just glance the Sault region.  Further north they could see heavier snow.

The main threat I see for the Sault to Sudbury corridor will be flurries changing to showers later in the day.  With temperatures just barely above freezing we could see slippery roads as rain freezes on contact with the frozen surfaces.  This could bring a coating of ice from late Saturday into Sunday morning.  Secondary roads will likely be the worse than treated main roads.

Bar River – Localized Flooding Pics

Laird-20141124-00511The Bar River, just east of Sault Ste. Marie, is very close to cresting its banks in the community of Bar River.  Further downstream, to the west of the community, the river has crested the banks and flooded the fields, surrounding some homes and crossing some roads.  Melting and runoff is expected to continue for a few more hours and then a flash freeze is expected around 9pm this evening. It is unlikely that this region will see much more rainfall before the snow arrives later tonight.

For more pictures see the full story on SooToday


Rain Update

As of 6am around 35mm of rain has fallen since 7pm last night.  Forecasts indicate another 10-15mm possible which will give total storm totals of 40-50mm across the region.  Watch my twitter account @ShieldsWeahter for more totals and updates through the day.

Rain Has Started – 25-35mm on the Way

winterfloodingRain has started across the Sault region.  It is expected to intensify and continue into Monday.

With 2-3mm per hour we are likely to see 25-35mm of rain by the time it tapers off tomorrow afternoon.  Expect plenty of snow melt as well to combine with plenty of standing water and localized flooding.

Temperatures will quickly drop Monday night to below freezing with snow by Tuesday morning.

A Storm is Upon Us – Video Posted

nov24_2014A massive low pressure system moves into Ontario tonight and into tomorrow.  This storm brings a mix of weather threats across the province.

Heavy rain is expected into northeastern Ontario along with freezing rain further north, strong winds along the Great Lakes and then a flash freeze late Monday into Tuesday.

Watch my latest weather update posted under the ‘Latest Video Briefing’ tab.  Also follow my twitter account @ShieldsWeather for updates through the day.  Be sure to also stay tuned to the latest public weather bulletins from Environment Canada through this event.

Winter RainStorm Arrives Sunday – Latest Video Posted


After the snowsqualls Thursday, we will begin to see a transition in the weather.  The overall flow pattern will swing around to bring warmer air into the province by the weekend.

A consequence of this change is that strong storm systems that develop in the deep American mid-west take aim at the Great Lakes region – and that’s exactly what will happen later this weekend.

Check our my latest video that covers the progression of a strong storm system into the Great Lakes and the estimates on rainfall and amount of melting we can expect.

Click on ‘Latest Video Briefing’ to see the latest update on this storm.

New Video Posted – Cold Ends and Winter Storm Arrives


I have posted my latest weather briefing in ‘Latest Video Briefing’ section of the website.

In this video I show brief footage of squalls on St. Joseph Island, talk about snow and cold for the rest of the work week, and then dive into the potential for a high impact Winter Storm by the end of the weekend and early next week.